⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 11CSV

29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.0%
Kidderminster
33.1%
Draw
31.9%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Kidderminster

vs
0.97

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).