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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Huddersfield
20.8%
Draw
18.9%
Northampton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Huddersfield

vs
0.89

Northampton

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).