Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Lorient
19.5%
Draw
16.0%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Lorient
vs
0.93
Nimes
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).