⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
44.1%
Rotherham
25.6%
Draw
30.2%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Rotherham

vs
1.02

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).