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06 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Burton
25.7%
Draw
43.5%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Burton

vs
1.29

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).