Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Strasbourg
22.2%
Draw
33.7%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Strasbourg
vs
1.54
Marseille
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).