Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Cremonese
23.6%
Draw
63.5%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Cremonese
vs
1.63
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.2%
0-2
14.7%
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.0%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
0-4
3.3%
2-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).