Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Milan
26.7%
Draw
31.7%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Milan
vs
1.12
Juventus
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).