Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
34.9%
Draw
32.3%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
1.16
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).