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21 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Hull
24.0%
Draw
25.3%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Hull

vs
1.29

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).