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13 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Anderlecht
28.0%
Draw
37.0%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Anderlecht

vs
1.31

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).