Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.8%
Preston
21.4%
Draw
67.8%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Preston
vs
2.00
Leeds
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
9.2%
0-0
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
3.1%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).