Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Port Vale
26.3%
Draw
31.2%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Port Vale
vs
1.01
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).