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AHT: 10CSV

01 Feb 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.7%
Angers
26.0%
Draw
10.3%
Ajaccio

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Angers

vs
0.38

Ajaccio

Markets

BTTS23.3%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.526.5%
Over 3.510.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
24.1%
2-0
16.6%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).