Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.7%
Kelty Hearts
16.3%
Draw
79.0%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Kelty Hearts
vs
2.19
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.3%
0-1
16.3%
0-3
13.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-4
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).