Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Livingston
24.8%
Draw
31.6%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Livingston
vs
1.43
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).