Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
St Etienne
20.0%
Draw
56.5%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
St Etienne
vs
2.17
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.4%
0-2
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).