Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Sudtirol
30.2%
Draw
21.0%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Sudtirol
vs
0.82
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).