Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Stoke
31.2%
Draw
28.7%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Stoke
vs
0.98
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).