Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Modena
24.4%
Draw
15.4%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Modena
vs
0.83
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).