Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Mainz
25.7%
Draw
40.7%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Mainz
vs
1.58
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).