Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Modena
25.5%
Draw
12.7%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Modena
vs
0.64
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).