Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.6%
Barcelona
7.9%
Draw
2.5%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Barcelona
vs
0.44
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
4-0
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
1-1
3.7%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).