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AHT: 00CSV

23 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Mouscron
29.0%
Draw
28.1%
Kortrijk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Mouscron

vs
1.03

Kortrijk

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).