Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Eldense
25.9%
Draw
53.0%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Eldense
vs
1.50
Elche
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).