Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Crystal Palace
32.2%
Draw
25.2%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Crystal Palace
vs
0.92
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).