Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Auxerre
16.4%
Draw
8.8%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Auxerre
vs
0.54
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.8%
1-0
15.6%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-0
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).