Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Brentford
26.5%
Draw
17.5%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Brentford
vs
0.81
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).