Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
AFC Wimbledon
28.2%
Draw
38.1%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.13
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).