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DHT: 01

04 Oct 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.5%
Westerlo
23.8%
Draw
20.7%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Westerlo

vs
1.02

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).