Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Tottenham
21.5%
Draw
23.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Tottenham
vs
1.53
Luton
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).