Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Magdeburg
25.3%
Draw
38.5%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Magdeburg
vs
1.64
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).