Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Kasımpaşa
32.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Kasımpaşa
vs
1.17
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.8%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).