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DHT: 11CSV

23 Nov 2019 · 19:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Mouscron
24.4%
Draw
55.8%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Mouscron

vs
1.79

Genk

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.0%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).