Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Torino
24.7%
Draw
39.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Torino
vs
1.46
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).