Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Estrela
25.5%
Draw
48.4%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Estrela
vs
1.44
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).