Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Sporting Gijón
30.3%
Draw
32.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.96
Burgos
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).