Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Salford
25.8%
Draw
40.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Salford
vs
1.33
Notts County
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).