Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Metz
22.2%
Draw
30.6%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Metz
vs
1.29
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).