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04 Oct 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.4%
Augsburg
29.3%
Draw
29.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Augsburg

vs
1.08

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).