Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Bolton
19.5%
Draw
12.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Bolton
vs
0.62
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).