Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Crotone
13.1%
Draw
77.7%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Crotone
vs
2.92
Napoli
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.553.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.0%
0-3
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).