Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Cheltenham
25.2%
Draw
30.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Cheltenham
vs
1.13
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).