Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Dortmund
22.1%
Draw
29.2%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Dortmund
vs
1.63
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS71.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).