Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Darmstadt
24.5%
Draw
31.7%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Darmstadt
vs
1.53
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).