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AHT: 00CSV

28 Aug 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Eupen
32.3%
Draw
29.1%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Eupen

vs
0.91

Seraing

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).