Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Hamburg
14.7%
Draw
11.8%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Hamburg
vs
1.28
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.9%
Over 2.581.7%
Over 3.564.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
1-1
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
4-2
4.0%
5-1
3.9%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).