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18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.9%
Gillingham
29.6%
Draw
43.5%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Gillingham

vs
1.14

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS37.7%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).