Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Tondela
29.1%
Draw
45.3%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Tondela
vs
1.18
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).