Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.3%
Elche
20.5%
Draw
12.2%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Elche
vs
0.67
Eldense
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).